Vote: Wildfire
Vote: Wildfire
Originally Posted by Jonothan Crane
Flossie's Handy Dandy 100 % Always Correct Mafia Analysis.
Sapient-- Mafia code name for the knowing one...this guy keeps archives of all the information the mafia has gathered and then uses it for blackmail
Rokchick--the Ice fence for the mafia, she handles the spoils from the mafia heists.
Scarecrow--Mafia code name for the enforcer, you disobey mafia rules....you will be getting a visit from Scare.
Mbstokem--Mafia bean counter, he knows how to cook the books
J_K--Mafia hit man, if you do not pay the protection money...you will be visited.
Seba--up and coming mafia don who got killed in a power struggle
Vinit--Mafia safe specialist, he is the go to man for when the mafia need to have codes cracked
Wildfire--Mafia numbers runner
Blazin--Mafia smuggler
Vpin--Mafia underling looking to rise to the top
Flossie--poor hapless townie stuck in a town full of mafiosos.
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
Mb and Scare, do you have any reasons for your votes
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
vote: Rokchick
Reason: It makes it a three way tie and might as well leave the lynch up to random.org. I have nothing on anyone.
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
Hmmm.
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
Vote count:
Sapient: Vinit, Rokchick
Scarecrow: Mbstokem, Blazin
Rokchick: J_K, Flossie
J_K: Sapient
Wildfire: Scarecrow
KP #2
Scarecrow was lynched and was the Bus Driver.
Vpindian was killed by the Godfather and was a Townie.
Mbstokem was roleblocked.
....
Originally Posted by Jonothan Crane
Well, we may be down to 8 players with presumably 3 Mafia still (based on 11 starting, 3 is the logical guess), but I think we are starting to get into a very good position here. For roles, the 2 losses last night was probably the least harmful - could have been worse.
But we now also know mb isn't the Godfather (as well as not being the Janitor based on N1). He is as close to conf-Town as we have right now.
I would also believe Sap and Rok are less likely to be Mafia than other people still alive. I'm not as certain of this, but since they were left as tied in the votes, the opportunity was there for fellow Mafia to push someone else ahead, which didn't happen. Could have been that other Mafia weren't online at the right time to swing the votes, but for now I will say they are "more clear".
So if we don't get any other useful information, we would be best to follow the lead of mb, Rok, or Sap - these three are least likely to be Mafia leading us astray on our votes. Last night, mb's vote was wrong, Rok voted Sap which seems like the wrong way to follow (see above), and Sap voted me (and I know he's wrong), so these aren't water-tight plans, but just playing the odds.
We also have our dead people's votes to look at. Scare and vp were both Town. vp didn't vote, but Scare cast an unbiased (i.e. not Mafia-influenced) vote for Wild. So based on last night's votes, Wild would be the best choice to vote at this point (voted for by conf-Town). I would be the 2nd best choice (an assumed-Town voted me).
But let's see who mb, Rok, and Sap want to vote for today... and if any other info comes into play.
Makes sense. Although it could as easily be others. You are reading townish.
No additional info from me today.
Lets' see.
Vote: Wildfire
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
First of all, it doesn't say whether mb was roleblocked by mafia or by town, or mafia could be roleblocking one of their own to claim innocence, at this point we don't know.
Scarecrow gave no reason as to why he voted for Wildfire, I believe it was a shot in the dark, or a throwaway vote more than a FoS.
Also, since you're jumping on the bandwagon with so little to go on, you look a little more suspicious. FoS: Jason
Sap, did you read my post? I admit there is nothing conclusive. It's going purely on the 'odds'. However, we know mb isn't Godfather or Janitor. Pretty good odds, I'd say. If RB is from Mafia, he couldn't RB himself (as that would be the only role he could have, since there wouldn't be 4 Mafia). But you are right, in that we don't know the alignment of the RB'er.
Also, Scare's vote was quite likely blind and a throw-away. But if we need to bandwagon on someone, I'd rather not follow the lead of someone like Vinit or Blazin (both of whom could quite possibly be Mafia, based on the almost-no-info we still have). I'd rather follow a blind vote of Scare (who was Town), mb (who is probably Town), you (who have a slightly greater than average chance of being Town, IMO), etc.
But your history makes me not want to follow you (not based on you voting me yesterday, but based on your accuracy in past games).
So for now, I ask "what says mb?"
To clarify why I'd rather follow Scare than Blazin, for those who don't follow the logic yet:
Scare is unbiased. He knows nothing about people's roles. He has/had a 3/8 chance (38%) of blindly voting Mafia.
Blazin could be Mafia. If he is, following his lead gives us 0% chance of voting out Mafia next. If he is an unbiased Town, he has the same 38% chance of blindly leading us to vote out Mafia.
So if we have no other choice, who would you rather follow? Someone with a 38% chance of being right? Or someone who is giving us "either 0% or 38% chance" of being right?
Sap, I'm running with history here and saying I'm pretty sure you saying that is meaningless?
If you actually know, rather than doing your usual useless rambling, give a hint. otherwise, I'm going with JK is more likely to be town than you at this stage. I'm sure about that!
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
OK, so Wild is AWOL and can't be the godfather (or at the very least one of the maf). That changes the odds.
unvote:
vote: Flossie
(no real reason tbh)
Jason, if you have anything solid to back your "sap might be town" spit it out. Sap is acting like either an idiot (most likely again), a cop with a result or mafia. And I seriously doubt the cop option.
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
I would ask the doctor to save me, but I identified 2 of the 3 mafia members, the only being left is the Godfather, of which I'm not sure how to identify.
Though, if the doctor would like to use his/her special on me tonight, that'd be appreciated. Lawyer should roleblock Jason.
Wildfire can easily be the janitor, he doesn't need to be active to be sent on the kill.
Sap....why do you think I am mafia? Is it because I would not talk to you about mafia on skype? YOu know town and indies cannot talk about mafia outside of this thread. Perhaps we have been looking at this all wrong...
Scare did something so that he thought wildfire was mafia....this is still the most trustworthy lead we have.
vote: wild
Note:Any posts made by this poster should always be construed in the most innocent angelic way possible. The poster is not responsible for where your depraved minds go, if you have a depraved mind.
Our Lady of Croppers ~Semper DOS~ ~Viva Toons~ || This area intentionally left blank. || The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity ~ Harlan Ellison
vote: Flossie
I'd rather believe Sap at this point rather than Jason.
I find it odd that after two nights, you were only sure about JK, now you are "sure" about flossie. You never mentioned Flossie until people started looking at you, then you appeared to jump on the Flossie bandwagon, suddenly claiming she was mafia too. Now look at you, accusing me of protecting my "own" for being suspicious of you. My vote stands.