BBSR 002 - Where in the Sam Hill are the Anvils?
BBSR 002-US2R9 4/24/17
Where in the Sam Hill are the Anvil’s?
Introduction to the BBSR
So since the forums are so quiet these days I thought I’d start publishing a regular report on the server. Since I’m in SW it will obviously focus on the action between SW and Æther. If LLUA/INQ/TLC wants to be included they can feel free to send reports and information my way and I will gladly add a section for you.
I will be calling this “BlackBlade’s Server Report” (BBSR). I’m still putting together some of the details but I’ll be using the following definitions/measurements to ensure consistency across my reporting and analysis. If any of these change I will make an effort to adjust the historical data to reflect accordingly.
Some notes on the metrics: They are not final and are subject to refinement, particularly as the community comments on things. I know I’d like to factor in defense killed both for the DOEI and OOEI, I just need to figure out how best to do that. I’d also like to differentiate between real hammers and mini or spawn hammers. I also want to factor if multiple hammers hit a village, arguably a single hammer that zeroes a village deserves a better VDI than multiple hammer strikes that do the same. The OOEI, in particular, would be distorted without some sort of way to control that. These are all things I’ll try and work on for the next edition.
The BBSR will be published at least once per month and as frequently as each week. The frequency will depend on the level of action in a given week/how much time I have. Each weekly period of the BBSR will run from Monday at 12:00 EST (aka Server time) to 11:59 EST the following Monday. (Military time FYI aka 12:00 PM / 11:59 AM) Attacks that land after the cut off time on Monday will be included in the following report. This takes time to put together but I expect to have it posted on Monday’s between 12:00 - 23:59.
State of Affairs - S.W vs Æther
# of Æther Players: 88
# of SW # Players: 92
# Æther Players Deleted: 5 (HolyPaster, Heisenberg, Madara, Papyrus and Honda450)
# SW Players Deleted: 0
# Æther Villages Destroyed: 1
# SW Villages Destroyed: 0
# SW Offensive Ops: 2
# Æther Offensive Ops: 0
BBSR DATA
In the time since the initial BBSR, S.W has launched two operations against Æther and been largely unchallenged. It is important to note that these attacks have focused on feeders, but have also been highly effective. Æther has not responded beyond a suicide attack by Papyrus following the ravaging of his capital a few days prior. While Feeders are harder to defend and less important to defend, at some point, you have to defend them or you won’t have much of an account left.
This brings us back to this:
Originally Posted by JoshMonster
In the first BBSR we provided an answer about S.W anvils and posed the same question to Æther. In the week since no definitive answer has been provided as Æther has defended only 2 of 11+ S.W attacks. Both of Crazy’s attacks were defended and with a combined loss of 58,803 most observers would expect it to be sidelined for the foreseeable future. This represents the one bright spot in recent events for Æther. Yet at the same time, the second defense action raises additional questions. On Crazy’s latest hit, 85% of the D was Senk’s. What does this mean? We can’t be sure but we ask again, where are (the other) Æther’s Anvils?
At the same time, Æther offense has gone quiet, even factoring in the losses of 7 hammers one would expect that they would be able to muster more to retaliate. As of 4/23 21:00, Æther has a combined 88 players and assuming between a 2:1 and 3:2 Anvil:Hammer Ratio (which are reasonable ratios), Æther should have around 22-28 more hammers. So where are they?
Will the silence continue? Unlikely but it does raise questions of when. Will Æther hold their hammers until the last minute, preferring to strike during end game? Certain forum personalities have insinuated similar behavior of at least one Æther player before. Perhaps taken with the loss of hammers this mentality has spread. Or they are simply hoping to catch S.W off guard with a sudden strike. It is possible the next report will detail a reversal of fortune on Us2.
While this author does not have data prior to the initial BBSR, SW appears to be currently in the lead or at least has the momentum relative to Æther. They are also not squandering their position instead choosing to push harder.
Editor's Note: Suicides and lone wolf attacks will not count towards the number of Offensive Operations or a tables summary results. The leadership of an alliance should not be held fully responsible for individual actions. They will be included in my tables but only as a matter of comparison and as something lost or gained outside the strategic decisions of alliance leadership since they can have short and long-term impacts on a team.
Æther vs SW Battle Reports
There are reports I haven’t gotten yet that fall within the appropriate timeframe but to my knowledge, they are all SW attacks. As I get more I will update this post.
BBSR Going Forward
Æther and SW are clearly engaged in an active war, which I’m sure surprises no one. So what about the rest of the server? We’ve got LLUA, INQ and TLC as the only other alliances with any significant number of players. I’ve got no information on them so if anyone wants to share reports/info on what they are up to for future editions I would appreciate it.
I would also like if some Æther players could perhaps give some constructive feedback on events since the reporting here will favor SW. I will try to be as neutral and unbiased as possible but since my information currently only flows from one source it will obviously slant in that direction.
If you’ve got constructive things to report/say you can send me an IGM (BlackBlade incase that wasn’t obvious), PM me on the forums or Skype me (TheGeneral1776). I look forward to hearing from you.
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