Ebwodp: FOS ROK**
Vote: Gibby
I'm just following the block honestly. Also this round has me so confused and work has my brain at a point where I just can't process everything.
Calling out weak trolling since December 2012
S1 R6 - Caesarum R7 - Carni R8 - Phantom
S2 R8 - Storeythor
S4 R8 - Carni
S5 R5 - Blackbird R7 - BBC
S8 R2 - Eazykills
S19 R1 - Seba18
Why? If you don't know if you are king, you have to vote against your team. I think that's pretty much the underlying driver here. What would be the point of EVERYONE voting for Gibby, her being lynched and being mafia? They would be one down and no further ahead. No one would have any extra info, and they would be one short. You could say that they might want to "take a chance", but what's the point? We have less than 3 nights left at best.
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
OOPS meant to reply to Echo
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
KP4:
Gibby was lynched and was an Assassin.
Rok was killed by the Assassins and was a Hero.
Originally Posted by Jonothan Crane
I, too, would like to complain thusly.
And before I start with what we should do tonight, I want to compliment Gibby -- you did an excellent job making me look hella suspicious. You shouldn't have pulled the trigger yourself, though. You should have waited for a townie to pull the trigger on it, and left me alive for now. You got unlucky with who you tried to frame, which you'll learn about after the thread.
Now, there are 6 players left and (probably) 2 mafia. That means it's still LYLO. (If there's only 1 mafia, that's another story, and we're in safer waters.)
I should be considered almost certain town.
Echo should be considered almost certain town due to his early comments that he was believing ME not GIBBY.
Blaze should be considered almost certain town due to his early comments that he agreed it looked like an obvious frame, indicating he was going to vote with ME, not GIBBY.
Kerzi waited too long -- she had a reason, but due to her position in the vote train, she should NOT be considered almost certain town.
Carni went along with the block vote because he had to, and should NOT be considered almost certain town.
m.walker.m voted wrong, so could be mafia.
So we're in a position where, from my perspective (and my perspective is important), and from the perspectives of everyone outside the following list of 3 people, 1-2 of the following 3 people are mafia:
m.walker.m
Carni
Kerzi
Now it just so happens that I ordered those players in the order I believe them to be most likely mafia to least likely mafia. I recommend a block vote on m.walker.m.
To that end:
Vote: m.walker.m
Up for discussion, though.
/haunt
SC can we see who all the king kills were at the end?
/end haunt
I'm glad I'm not judgemental like all you smug, superficial idiots
This is true, but (a) echo is confirmed for town, meaning that the vote was inaccurate, and (b) as I said earlier, there was always a chance she was the king, meaning that maff could have won the game just with that vote, so there's some compensation for taking the risk. In other words, it's not as stupid to do that as mafia as it would be in other mafia games.
Echo and Kerzi -- would you two mind posting your thoughts ASAP?
(About who you think is mafia, and about whether the person who is kingmaker should roleclaim just so there is 1 more conftown, assuming it is one of the 3 on the suspicious list. THat is, Kerzi, if you're kingmaker, it might make sense to roleclaim. Thoughts?)
Yeah, I recognize that my vote order was not good, but there wasn't anything I could do to prevent it. Just glad yesterday is over, cause hell day.
To your one question, Burn: I do not think the Kingmaker should role claim. If we choose correctly and there are 2 mafia left as of right now, there is another day. If that is the case, if they come out of the shadows today without a counter claim they are absolutely dead tonight.
Here are my other thoughts:
1) If there are 2 mafia, at least one voted for Gibby. If there is 1, it's either Excel (walker) with his lone vote off of her, or it's another. Odds are that Excel is mafia. But, there is the possibility that he's not. If he's not, that means ALL mafia voted for Gibby (1 or 2). The only reason I can think of for them to do that, if that's the case, is if at least one of them feels 'safe' from the vote.
2) I keep going back to the first night, when the day was prolonged because a role was not sent. There are two possibilities that I can see: 1) it was someone who posted early, then could not/forgot to come back or 2) someone who posted very late, with SC delaying a little bit more afterwards to not make them SO obvious. For (1), Excel came back after his first post, so it probably was not him. Carni has only posted twice this thread. I believe he also missed that first deadline, along with mullion...and I think we all missed that point initially.
3) I don't have a 'conf town' list. I agree that Burn and Blaze seem town, as does Ech0. I won't discount the small possibility that Gibby and company pre-planned to play against each other for the exact purpose of making the other(s) unquestionable. The odds favour it being Carni and/or Excel, because of my first two points...but this third point is killing my head, just because of how unlikely it probably, tug-a-war with the tiny chance that we're simply being well played.
Leader of KoN (S5), TLDRDTX (S3), CIN and PaN (2016 tournie)
NI!
You take the princesses and I'll take the hero?
I don't think you or Blazin are scum (if you one or both of you guys are, well done).
Leaning towards mullion because of his really weird post yesterday...
Would love to hear from him how I was disingenuous...
Will think on Kingmaker roleclaiming, leaning against it at the moment...
Right, my point was this - only mafia would counterclaim, so if you, m.walker.m, or Carni are kingmaker, then at most, 2 of you can claim it. If there are 2 mafia left, then the third player is 100% chance of being mafia. That'd be who we vote for. (Of course, then the third mafia could also claim it, making it back to 33/33/33. But it's not actually like that because my feeling is that you're town and the other 2 are mafia.)
And anyway, your point about the inactivity is also well taken. I was also trying to figure out whether it was more likely that the GF is carni or m.walker.m -- but it also could have been intentional. The GF could have intentionally not sent it in to focus us on inactives. (I.e., you could be GF and have done that on purpose.)
If Carni is mafia the best chance would be for Carni to vote for m.walker with us and then try to convince me that Kerzi, not Carni, is the last mafia.
If Kerzi is mafia, she's already mostly sold me on being a town, and can probably just follow us voting for m.walker.
If Echo or Blaze are mafia, it's gg town. (As in, we lost.)
Here's what I want from everyone:
Is Carni or m.walker more likely to be mafia. I say m.walker. What do others think?
Blaze has already said Carni, Kerzi, which is more for you -- and Echo, which is more mafia?
I really can't tell from their post histories.
If it's them, though, it doesn't matter. For reasons.
(That is, if it's them, we know who they both are, so...)
A head's up on today: I am now at work; part of my portfolio is supervising summer camps. My ability to keep up with this thread during the day is now entirely dependant on how many 'fires' come up.
As for Excel/Carni:
Excel's vote sticks out like a sore thumb. I just can't get over HOW much it sticks out, though. Why would mafia put themselves on a platter like that? I'm leaning to Carni because of that.
It's very possible that I am overthinking things, too.
Leader of KoN (S5), TLDRDTX (S3), CIN and PaN (2016 tournie)
NI!
Alright, on balance, I think I'm convinced by this. It doesn't matter.
I'm going to tip my hand -- I've made a decision to do so against your advices.
King during KP2: Rok
King during KP3: Kerzi
King during KP4: Blazin
Current king: Echo
So I'd suggest voting for Carni. Carni's possibly got to try to convince that m.walker is more likely. (Maybe by doing so he can then try to throw shade on Kerzi?) Or just say nothing and m.walker has to convince that someone else is more likely? Not sure where they can go.
But yeah, I'm kingmaker, and y'alls should probably go with Carni. If not, m.walker. Your pick, Echo.
Unvote: m.walker
Vote: Carni
My understanding of the rules is that this roleclaim is allowed (even though it probably gets me killed), and that everyone is eligible to be king next round. Pretty sure y'alls are safe next round based on my picks for king and secondary there, too. You might have to do without me for the next round -- if something happens to change your minds about who mafia is (ie. it could still theoretically be anyone, we're just guessing with high chances that Echo and Blaze are safe, and admitting that if they're not, it's already gg.)
Anyway, peace out pallies. I got work to do, too. (I'm jealous of Kerzi working at a camp though -- I miss working at a summer camp.)
I am pretty sure both of them are mafia and it doesn't matter, but Kerzi and Blaze both think Carni is more likely and they have convinced me.
You should have insisted on the Kingmaker roleclaiming, would have been much more useful if someone tried to claim it first.
That being said, I'll follow the vote of the non-scummy seeing people.
Vote: Carni
I actually have pretty much no idea why we think Carni or Kerzi could be scummy but everyone seems to agree so I'm just going along with it...
I considered insisting but decided eventually that this is better. Carni is scummy because of activity N1 (remember, mullion we lynched for being inactive but came up town), and because of being the very last person to hop on the train for Gibby. And for being so not-posty.
Kerzi could still be it because unlike you and Blaze, who were saying how you were going to vote with me, not Gibby, during the night we got Gibby, she only came in on it later when it was already decided that we were going to vote for Gibby not for me. (Mafia members would want to make sure Gibby was going to lose the vote before coming along and saying she was mafia not me.)
If you or Blaze is mafia I guess it's already gg because all logic is assuming you're town -- because yesterday when we lynched Gibby I goaded both of you to come out and express how you thought Gibby was mafia not me. (If you went the other way, the vote would have gone the other way. You would have done that if you were mafia.)
I assume I die tonight because I'm conftown, but just be careful tomorrow night. I do have to go now, though.
Don't be jealous, Burn. Supervising 7 camps simply means I deal mostly with the not so fun stuff that pops up. I do, however, make it a point to try to lead a game for old times sake at least once a week, cause sanity.
For what it's worth, Ech0, now that only your vote counts: Burns summed it up nicely regarding Carni (I really like the term 'non-posty', btw). Excel (walker) is obvious, but could have been a rookie mistake, as you said (I'm assuming you meant Excel when you said Mullion).
And I DON'T like that you claimed, Burns. For the record, again![]()
Leader of KoN (S5), TLDRDTX (S3), CIN and PaN (2016 tournie)
NI!